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The Greatest Trade Ever: The Behind

发布时间: 2017-03-21 10:09:27 作者: rapoo

The Greatest Trade Ever: The Behind-the-Scenes Story of How John Paulson Defied Wall Street and Made Financial History

In 2006, hedge fund manager John Paulson realized something few others suspected--that the housing market and the value of subprime mortgages were grossly inflated and headed for a major fall.? Paulson's background was in mergers and acquisitions, however, and he knew little about real estate or how to wager against housing.? He had spent a career as an also-ran on Wall Street. But Paulson was convinced this was his chance to make his mark. He just wasn't sure how to do it.? Colleagues at investment banks scoffed at him and investors dismissed him.? Even pros skeptical about housing shied away from the complicated derivative investments that Paulson was just learning about.? But Paulson and a handful of renegade investors such as Jeffrey Greene and Michael Burry began to bet heavily against risky mortgages and precarious financial companies. Timing is everything, though. Initially, Paulson and the others lost tens of millions of dollars as real estate and stocks continued to soar. Rather than back down, however, Paulson redoubled his bets, putting his hedge fund and his reputation on the line.
???? In the summer of 2007, the markets began to implode, bringing Paulson early profits, but also sparking efforts to rescue real estate and derail him. By year's end, though, John Paulson had pulled off the greatest trade in financial history, earning more than $15 billion for his firm--a figure that dwarfed George Soros's billion-dollar currency trade in 1992.? Paulson made billions more in 2008 by transforming his gutsy move.? Some of the underdog investors who attempted the daring trade also reaped fortunes. But others who got the timing wrong met devastating failure, discovering that being early and right wasn't nearly enough.
???? Written by the prizewinning reporter who broke the story in The Wall Street Journal, The Greatest Trade Ever is a superbly written, fast-paced, behind-the-scenes narrative of how a contrarian foresaw an escalating financial crisis--that outwitted Chuck Prince, Stanley O'Neal, Richard Fuld, and Wall Street's titans--to make financial history.


From the Hardcover edition.

媒体推荐

"Simply terrific. Easily the best of the post-crash financial books."?
--Malcolm Gladwell

"Mr. Zuckerman is a first-rate reporter who is also able to explain the complexities of real estate finance in layman’s terms. At times, The Greatest Trade Ever reads like a thriller."
--The New York Times?

“How Paulson and a handful of contrarian investors pulled off this once-in-a-lifetime coup is the subject of The Greatest Trade Ever ... a fascinating and believable counter-narrative to the growing pile of books recounting the disastrous mistakes made by many of the supposedly smartest minds on Wall Street. It is also a surprisingly dramatic work...In The Greatest Trade Ever, Zuckerman skillfully shows how Paulson and a few cohorts anticipated a disaster and figured out a way to profit.”
--BusinessWeek

"More than a cinematic narrative of how Paulson and others figured out how to short the market. We’re also reminded of how opaque and illiquid some financial instruments are, how little Wall Street executives understood them, and how difficult it was for more knowledgeable bankers to say that the subprime emperor had no clothes."
--Bloomberg.com

"Zuckerman has a story to tell, a thread to follow, and it just happens to turn out that by following the saga of John Paulson, Zuckerman reveals all kinds of fascinating perspectives on complex finance, the real estate bubble and Wall Street and Washington's difficulties in putting the two together.”
--TheDeal.com

“A magnificent insider look at how Paulson and others profited off of subprime’s demise, detailing both the formulation and implementation of such a trade…Zuckerman’s work is both insightful and gripping.”
--Marketfolly.com

"Greg Zuckerman was the first to tell the world about John Paulson's sensational trade…He's written?the definitive account of a strange and wonderful subplot of the financial crisis."
--Michael Lewis, bestselling author of Moneyball and Home Game

"Gregory Zuckerman takes us to Wall Street's heart of darkness, where mushroomed a $1 trillion subprime mortgage market that only the few, the brave, the smart dared short. The story of John Paulson and the few colorful contrarians who made outsized bets and outrageous profits on the subprime implosion, is at once a great page-turner and a great illuminator of the market's crash."
--John Helyar, co-author, Barbarians at the Gate: The Fall of RJR Nabisco

"Greg Zuckerman's book is much, much more than a brilliant account of Paulson's trade of the century; it also provides a highly enjoyable and lucid journey through the analytical and emotional maze that constituted the financial markets on the eve of the Great Recession. The book is compulsory reading for those looking for exceptional insights on the complex forces that interconnect Wall Street, hedge funds and Main Street."
--Mohamed El-Erian, Chief Executive Officer of Pacific Investment Management Co. and bestselling author of When Markets Collide: Investment Strategies for the Age of Global Economic Change

"I couldn't put it down. All I can say is, WOW! What a story! Incredibly illuminating."
--Whitney Tilson, hedge fund manager and author of More Mortgage Meltdown: 6 Ways to Profit in These Bad Times

"A wonderful, fast-paced summary of how John Paulson, a hedge fund manager, made billions of dollars."
--Sarasota Herald-Tribune

"The Greatest Trade Ever?is aptly titled, for it is possibly the greatest book to come out of the financial crisis of 2007 — 2008, and it’s certainly up there in the top 3."
--Bnet.com

"...a Tour de Force?chronicling the rise of John Paulson from a mediocre merger arbitrage investment manager into a financial titan."
--Marketthoughts.com

"An astonishingly interesting story."
--David Warsh, EconomicPrincipals.com?





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From the Hardcover edition.

作者简介

GREGORY ZUCKERMAN is a senior writer at the Wall Street Journal, where he has been a reporter for twelve years. He pens the widely read “Heard on the Street” column and writes about hedge funds, investing, and other Wall Street topics. Zuckerman appears on CNBC twice a week to explain complex trades.?He is a two-time winner of the Gerald Loeb Award for coverage of the credit crisis, the demise of WorldCom, and the collapse of hedge fund Amaranth Advisors, and he is a recipient of other awards.?


From the Hardcover edition.

网友对The Greatest Trade Ever: The Behind-the-Scenes Story of How John Paulson Defied Wall Street and Made Financial History的评论

讲述一个华尔街投资家如何在2008美国次贷危机来临之前大肆做空以房屋贷款为抵押的金融衍生品,然后发大财的传奇故事。比肩甚至超过索罗斯!

书质量不错。。内容也不错,性价比较高

Excellent insight into the greatest criminal economic travesty ever visited on the American people. The $7,000,000,000 (trillion) loss is second only to Bernie Madoff and the cumulative Ponzi schemers. The revelation of the inept complicity of the U.S. governments actions/inaction visa vie the SEC is not surprising. However, it is stunning in its scope and duration.

The authors research, verification and "novel" like delivery makes for an intriguing "who dunnit." The folks who saw the disaster coming years before it happened and were able to profit HUGELY from it is a testimonial to the American entrepreneur.

Zuckerman's skill in presenting arcane, complicated and obfuscating financial "mumbo jumbo" is brilliant--this stuff can be mind numbing in its complexity. It should be a business school required reading as well as critical to every Americans financial health.

What you don't know will financially RUIN you!!

"The Greatest Trade Ever" is a fascinating and entertaining read, fully comprehensible for those non-Wall Street insiders, exposing the underbelly of the financial industry in the midst of the bursting housing bubble. However, the book title is a bit of a misnomer in my mind. This book would have been best titled "the most profitable Wall Street" bet ever made. John Paulson and his team certainly had the foresight to dig deep and smell the rotten filth of sub-prime lending crisis. While I don't share the lionization of him the way Zuckerman's title and much of the book portrays, this still was a very fast moving and inside story that can't be conveyed in a NYT or WSJ article. On that level, this books works well for me.

On the other hand, the book leaves me more troubled and disenchanted with the financial industry..... and I'm a bullish believer in the free market. Reading this book left me even more jaded of much of the financial industry and their ability to create negative global impact greater than the benefit they deliver. Sure, there are aspects of the industry that serve useful purposes --- i.e., helping companies raise capital to finance growth. However, much of the industry seems like cess pool of individuals who've never created innovative products or services to sell to consumers or businesses. Or taken an innovative idea and created and/or revolutionized categories or industries. They are big time gamblers, playing mostly with house money and limited accountability (unless things go well) usinge opaque and risky investment instruments. John Paulson was wildly successful by those measures, but probably wouldn't last a day running a Fortune 100 company, leading tens of thousands of employees or being one of the millions of individuals with an idea and a dream that are the true engines of the American economy.

"The Greatest Trade Ever" was a fantastic read even if the characters and their industry leave little to respect or admire.

A lucid, detailed chronicle of the people and events surrounding the Great Recession. This is less a story of that debacle but more of those who were able to see it coming and profit from it. It's a lesson to remember: for all the yelling - there's somebody selling. And for all the crying - there's somebody buying. These few men saw the systemic and fatal flaws in the CDO "securitized" markets and moved to the other side of the trade. Some even tried to raise an alarm against the coming tsunami but were willfully ignored. I applaud their foresight and strength to bet accordingly.

A very easy and complete read illustrating John Paulson, Michael Burry, and Gregg Lippman's hugely successful parts in the Housing Crisis Of 2008. Although we know the ending, this book reads like a thriller forcing the read! It provides valuable insight as to what happened with the synthetic mortgage creations MBS and CDO's and how savvy ordinary individuals learned, studied, bet on, and ultimately succeeded in obtaining billions legally, holding CDS, mortgage protection.

It is ironic that the corrupt actions of Congress that failed to protect the common citizen, held hearings to question the risk takers that beat the system! I share John Paulson's future vision of an inflation bubble coming.

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