预测使用说明INSTRUCTION
●预测适用时间：
2012年8月4日考试(A类)
2012年8月9日考试(A类)
●预测适用考区：
中国大陆地区，港澳台地区，亚洲其他地区(日韩泰)以及澳洲均可参考本预测。以上地区笔试部分(听力、阅读、写作)为统一试卷，口语考试各地区题目可能不同，请参照预测范围进行准备。欧洲、美洲以及其他亚太以外地区不适宜使用该预测，目前除亚太地区以外由于资源和信息等问题还无法提供详细预测，考生朋友可自行参考机经复习。
●预测适用类别：
学术类(A类)(8月4日与9日考试只有A类)
●预测发布时间：
2012年7月29日(一般预测发布时间会在目标考试前一周左右)
●预测附加说明：
听力版本对应无忧雅思听力机经(2012夏季版)和3G雅思听力机经(2009BETA版)，两者之和才是完整题库。预测中的大部分内容都可在无忧雅思听力机经中找到对应版本，找不到的部分，可以参考3G雅思听力机经。
最新考试回顾 REVIEW
●听力：
28日听力部分为两新两旧，旧题全部在凉月一级预测中：
Section3 = V30085 Section 3(一级预测)
Section4 = V30036 Section 4(一级预测-特别关注)
●阅读：
Passage 1—新西兰渔业品种
Passage 2—trade是人类本性
Passage 3—why we are happy的研究
●写作：
凉月在28日A类预测中的原文为：“A类小作文重点看pie chart和bar chart，同时关注地图题和功能图。”28日考试小作文题目为3个pie charts，与预测一样。A类大作文为社会X艺术类，问艺术是否值得投资。具体题目为：
A类
task1——pie chart——关于不同工作者的不同工作时间比例
task2——社会X艺术——Some people think that arts, such as music can not directly improve people’s life and they think that government should spend money on other. To what extent do you agree or disagree?
G类
task1——书信——You have borrowed something from your friend for a party, unfortunately, it is damaged. Write a letter to apologies to your friend, explain what was going on, and give a suggestion for resolving the problem.
task2——社会——Many people spend a long periods of time working or living far away from home, discuss advantages and disadvantages.
●口语：
各地题目不同，详细内容请参考回忆。
临近考前预测FORECAST
2012年8月所有场次雅思考试的听力部分均可按照本次的雅思听力预测进行准备;9月考生可按照本预测中听力一级预测中的版本先行准备。
凉月曾在5月、6月两次预测到A类小作文的地图题和流程图，5月26日和6月30日分别出现了地图题和流程图，预计7-8月初步估计还会有一次，地图和功能图可能性大，且8月可能性略大，应做好准备;
听力版本对应无忧雅思听力机经(2012夏季版)和3G雅思听力机经(2009BETA版)，两者之和才是完整题库。预测中的大部分内容都可在无忧雅思听力机经中找到对应版本，找不到的部分，可以参考3G雅思听力机经。
听力预测
难度系数估计：★★
新题概率估计：2新题2旧题可能性在60%，3旧1新可能为25%， 3新1旧可能性15%。
机经使用说明：机经就是以往考过试题的汇总，也就是题库，是由每次考完的考生进行回忆总结，再由专业人士进行汇总编订而成的。雅思考试每次的题目都是由一部分以往的旧题和一部分新题目组成的，对于旧题部分，我们会根据考试的规律将可能出现的题目进行重点提示，以便大家复习。使用时，请下载3G雅思机经和无忧雅思机经并根据预测的版本号与机经中的题目对应进行复习即可
阅读预测
难度系数估计：★★☆
阅读机经的作用不大，因为考生不可能将阅读题目的文章和答案都一一记下变成机经，即便留下了一些答案，也有很多是错误的。所以，考生朋友在使用阅读机经的时候，应注重对背景的理解，而不是背答案。
凉月与三位新东方雅思名师联袂撰写的《剑桥雅思全真试题8原版解析》一书已上市，这本书是剑桥8的解析中出版耗时最长的一本，里边涉及了诸多非常实用的应试技巧。由中国人民大学出版社出版。凉月负责撰写的是阅读部分，该书阅读部分并非简单的答案解析和译文，而是在解题中融入了如何定位、阅读顺序、各类题目的技巧等等内容，直接通过剑桥真题把阅读瓦解。有兴趣的同学可以到书店翻一翻，一见内容，必然喜欢。
写作预测
难度系数估计：★☆
A类小作文重点看bar chart和table，同时关注地图题和功能图。
地图题和功能图可参照《向雅思流程图说YES》一书进行准备，重点看新旧城区对比的SAMPLE 17&18及相应范文，功能图可参考SAMPLE 30及其范文(注：以上SAMPLE编号是针对正版书的编号，盗版书的编号略有不同，盗版少一些真题和范文。希望大家能使用正版，如果只有网络盗版来不及买正版的同学，地图题可以先看盗版的SAMPLE 16解燃眉之急，功能图盗版只有2009年以前的题目但仍然可以看一下写法)。
A类大作文主要关注教育类和社会类(社会类中环境、政府职能话题需重点关注)。具体可参考预测的题目。
写作并非像听力一样容易捕捉题目，能够碰到考前准备好的题目的情况当少见。雅思考试的写作题目也在不断变化。而且就算雅思考试过关，出国求学也有大量的论文要写。建议考生朋友从基础提高写作能力，多仿写目标分数的文章(例如你希望得7分，那么就仿写7分的文章，不要盲目仿写8、9分的文章，掌握起来很难)，积累好的句型和词汇表达，平时注意积累一些好的观点。
写作书籍推荐使用两本就够了：凉月的《向雅思流程图说YES!》和杨凡的《七周轻松突破雅思写作拿7分》
相关练习题目：
1. Modern cities have good conditions in education and medicine. Some people say that all new teachers and doctors should be sent to rural areas to improve the local conditions. Others say people should go where they like. Discuss both views and give your own opinion.
2. Schools should teach children academic subjects which will be useful in their future careers. Subjects such as music and sports are not useful. To what extent do you agree or disagree?
3. Studies suggest that children spend more time watching TV than they did in the past and spend less time in doing active or creative things. What are the causes and what methods can be used to solve the problem?
4. Many people argue that in order to improve educational quality, high school students are encouraged to make comments or even criticism on their teachers. Others think it will lead to loss of respect and discipline in the classroom. Discuss both views and give your own opinion.
5. Some people believe that teenagers should learn all school subjects, while others claim that students should focus on the subjects that they are best at or that they are interested in. Discuss both views and give your opinion.
6. University students should pay all the cost of their studies because university education benefits the students themselves rather than the society as a whole. To what extent do you agree or disagree?
7. Some people think that younger people are not suitable for important positions in governments of countries. Others argue that younger people have new ideas in these positions. Discuss both these views and give your opinion.
8. Traffic and housing problems in major cities would be solved by moving big companies, factories and their employees to the countryside. To what extent do you agree or disagree?
9. Rich countries often give financial aid to poor countries, but it does not solve the poverty, so rich countries should give other types of help to the poor countries rather than the financial aid. To what extent do you agree or disagree?
10. Many scientists believe that now we can study the behavior of a three-year-old child to see whether they will grow up to be criminals. To what extent do you think the human nature produces crimes? And how can we prevent children from growing up to be criminals?
11. Some people think that too much money has been spent looking after and repairing old buildings, so we should knock down old buildings and build modern ones instead. To what extent do you agree or disagree?
12. The only way to improve the safety in our roads is to give much stricter punishment for driving offences. To what extent do you agree or disagree?
13. Some people think governments should spend money on measures to save languages with few speakers from dying out completely. Others think this is a waste of financial resources. Discuss both views and give your opinion.
14. Some people say that professional workers such as doctors, nurses and teachers make greater contribution. So they should be paid more than those sport and entertainment persons. To what extent do you agree or disagree?
15. Some people think museums should be enjoyable places to attract and entertain young people. Others think the purpose of museums is to educate, not to entertain people. Discuss both views and give your own opinion.
16. Some people think computer and Internet are important in children's study, but others think students can learn more effectively in schools and with teachers. Discuss both views and give your own opinion.
17. In many parts of the world, the incidence of crimes for young people is increasing. Why is this case happening? How should children or teenagers be punished?
18. Society is based on rules and laws. It could not function if individuals were free to do whatever they wanted. To what extent do you agree or disagree?
19. Space travel to the moon is considered as “a step of mankind.” But some people think that space travel has made little difference on people’s lives today. To what extent do you agree or disagree?
20. Nowadays many developing countries are increasingly expanding their tourist industries. Is it a positive or negative development?
21. Some people think that by paying taxes they have made enough contribution to their society. Others think there are more responsibilities than paying taxes. Discuss both these views and give your opinion.
22. Economic progress is one way to measure the success of a country. Some people believe there are other factors. What other factors should be considered? Which one do you think is more important than the others?
23. Some people think that men and women have different qualities and some jobs are suitable for men and some jobs are suitable for women. To what extent do you agree or disagree?
24. Nowadays, many charities and organisations have to publicise their activities by giving a name to a particular day, such as National Children's day for encouraging better treatment of children, National Non-smoking Day for encouraging people to give up smoking. How effective can these special days be?
口语预测
难度系数估计：(不同地区难度不同)
口语题目由于较多且较琐碎，考生朋友请尽量全面地准备。
经过多年预测后，我们发现，口语预测其实不如参考考试当日的回忆。比如，甲16日11:30考试，他的题目很可能就是乙15日14:00考过的题目(有充分时间可以登录3G分享回忆)，也可能是丙16日9:30考过的题目。在全面准备后，如果能在考前得知题目，用30分钟左右迅速组织语言，也能够对考试成绩有临时的提升。
几点说明NOTICES
1. 预测只是辅助，考试成败关乎自己的未来，请把提高英语水平放在首位，同时用预测来起到画龙点睛锦上添花的作用。不要依赖预测，忽略提高英语水平的根本。
2. 预测谁都能做，你也可以。但是出于对自己的未来负责，不是所有的预测都可以随便相信的。对于现在令人眼花缭乱的预测，有非常准确的，也有滥竽充数的，就像股评家一样多如牛毛，考生要加以区别。首先看这个预测存在了多少年，比如凉月的预测是从2005年开始的，另外杨凡、王陆、颜炜等名师的预测也是早在2005年就已经存在了，都经过了时间的考验;不要相信近一两年甚至几个月才出现的预测(至少没有经过实践的考验)。再看这个预测的准确率，偶尔预测到题目的运气好都能做到，连续几十场都能保持准确预测的，整个雅思界绝不会超过十人。最后看老师的名声，名声好的自然有其道理，名声不好的或者没听说过的，暂且不要相信吧。
3. 关于选择考试日期的问题，最好的日期是自己时间允许且复习的充分的情况下的那一场，而不是盲目选择“简单”的那一场。雅思考试各场的难度其实都差不多，某一场听力简单了，阅读就会难一点，听力阅读都简单的写作可能难一点，况且简单不简单都是考完才知道。即使预测，也只能提前一周左右对下周的考试范围作出判断，已经过了报名时限了。所以选择自己时间最合适的考试就是最好的考试日期。
4. 关于复议，目前雅思考试的写作和口语分数存在偏低显现。如果你的单项分差达到了2分或者以上，比如听力8分，写作5.5分，单项的分差达到2.5分，就申请复议吧，在这种情况下复议的成功率是比较高的。